What is IRR in Real Estate?
What is IRR in Real Estate? When investing in an income-producing asset, it’s important to know how much money you will make as well as when you will receive it. Checking the performance of stocks and bonds can be easily done by logging into a brokerage account for updates. However, identifying current and future real estate returns is much more difficult because the same property does not change hands every day. Of the various financial analysis metrics available to real estate investors, IRR is one of the most often used calculations. IRR in real estate incorporates key investment criteria to help identify property that meets the specific goals of each individual investor. What is IRR? Internal rate of return (IRR) is a financial metric used to measure the profitability of an investment over a specific period of time and is expressed as a percentage. For example, if you have an annual IRR of 12%, that means you have 12% more of something than you did 12 months earlier. The IRR calculation combines profit and time into one formula: Profit is how much cash the investment generates over the holding period compared to the amount of capital invested Time value of money (TVM) estimates what the current value is of money received in the future Opportunity cost by comparing the IRR of one investment to other alternatives A good way to think about IRR is that it is the discount rate – or interest rate – that makes the net present value (NPV) of the cash flows you receive equal to zero. By weighting the periodic cash flows, IRR helps you to make a fair comparison to alternative investments with cash flows that occur at different points in time. That’s because a dollar actually received today is worth more than the promise of a dollar received several years from now, due to factors such as inflation, unknown future events, and general investment risk. As a real estate investor, you have a required rate of return on the capital being deployed in order for the investment to make sense. Everything else being equal, the investment that generates an IRR greater than or equal to your required rate of return will be worthwhile taking a closer look at. Examples of calculating IRR Let’s assume you invest $100,000 in a property with a holding period of five years. If you choose the wrong investment and have no cash flows and no profit or loss at the time of sale, your IRR is 0%. However, the three more likely potential outcomes are: #1: Annual cash flow and no profit from sale Initial investment $100,000 Annual cash flow $12,000 Initial investment of $100,000 recovered at the end of the five-year holding period IRR is 12%, which is another way of saying that the investment generated an annualized profit of 12% #2: No annual cash flows but a profit from sale Initial investment $100,000 No cash flows over the holding period Initial investment of $100,000 recovered plus a $25,000 profit from sale for a total of $125,000 IRR is 4.56% because a profit was generated when the property was sold at the end of five years – note that the IRR is lower than Outcomes #1 and #3, due to the NPV and TVM concepts #3: Annual cash flow and profit from sale Initial investment $100,000 Annual cash flow $12,000 Initial investment of $100,000 recovered plus a $25,000 profit from sale for a total of $125,000 IRR is 15.66% because cash flows were received and a profit was made when the property was sold at the end of five years Assuming your required rate of return is 6%, the only outcome that is worth considering is the last one with an IRR of 15.66%. Key assumptions that affect IRR Note that in order to calculate the potential IRR of a real estate investment you’ll need to make four assumptions: Amount of periodic cash flows Timing of periodic cash flows Date property will be sold Sales price of property Minor changes in these four assumptions can have a significant impact on your IRR, such as receiving cash flows monthly or annually. For example, if you invest $100,000 and receive $1,000 the first month, you now have $101,000. That’s 1% more than your original investment, and a monthly IRR of 1%. Assuming your investment grows by 1% each month, in the second month you would have made $102,010 ($101,000 x 1.01), and by the end of 12 months you would have made a total of $12,682.50 from your original investment. The annual IRR of 12.68% ($112,682.50 / $100,000) – 1 = 0.1268 or 12.68%. On the other hand, if you received a single annual distribution of $12,000 from your $100,000 investment, your annual IRR would be just 12%. What is a Good IRR? IRR is a comprehensive way of thinking about the potential profitability of a real estate investment. When you think about what a good IRR is, it’s important to take a detailed look at the prospective investment and understand that an IRR isn’t always what it appears to be. For example, a project may boast a big top-level IRR, but the net IRR to you as an investor is lower because of asset management fees taken by the developer or sponsor before distributions are made. On the other hand, an IRR may be understated due to the industry standard of calculating investment returns on an annual basis, when distributions are actually made monthly or quarterly. Core Plus, Core, and Value Add investments will also yield different IRRs due to the anticipated income stability and the level of risk: Core Plus investments will generate a lower but very predictable IRR similar to the regular payment schedule of a bond or stock dividend, with little upside or downside Core properties will return slightly higher IRRs due to gradually increasing cash flows and an upside gain when the property is sold Value Add projects may provide higher IRRs, although … Read more